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Markets aren’t whispering anymore – they’re talking loud
and clear.
The US Dollar just printed fresh multi-year lows, while gold
continues to ride strong bullish momentum. This is the kind of
environment where patience, levels, and daily closes matter more
than emotions.
USD Index (DX.F): Bears Stay in Control (for now)
Yesterday’s quote
sets the tone for today and so let’s start there:
“(…) If bulls fail to show real strength during
today’s session – specifically by regaining and holding
above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement – the path toward a test
of the September lows remains wide open.
Next key downside target? Support area around
95.85-96.25. (…)
From today’s perspective, we see that bears once again had zero trouble delivering on our bearish
scenario. The USD Index was pushed to its lowest level since February
2022, printing a fresh multi-year low at 95.44.
Even though buyers managed to close the day back above the September
low (an invalidation of the earlier breakdown), that fresh low
clearly fired up bearish imagination, and today’s session
opened with another red, bearish gap.
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Today’s daily close will be the key:
-
If buyers manage to close today’s gap, their odds of slowing
sellers increase. In that case, their next realistic objective for
the rest of the week would likely be a move toward filling
Monday’s large downside gap, which currently acts as the
most important resistance. Such price action could translate into
small pullbacks in the case of gold and silver. -
If they fail, the path toward 95.00 remains wide
open.
It’s worth noting that the 95 area also aligns with the dashed
black support line based on previous lows visible on the weekly
chart. This support managed to stop sellers back in July 2025, which
makes it a technically important battlefield.
If bulls fail there as well, the next downside target sits around
94.67-94.75, where multiple factors meet:
- 127.2% Fibonacci extension (daily chart),
- February 2022 lows,
-
the lower border of the black descending channel (weekly chart).
That zone represents the last solid line of defense for buyers.
Silver (SI.F) & Gold (GC.F) → these sections are reserved for Premium readers today.
Before we summarize
today’s Lab Note, please note that
earlier todaygold delivered both of our Monday’s upside targets right on
schedule
– clean execution, no noise. If you’re tired of reading about
moves after they happen and want to be positioned
before price accelerates, that’s exactly what the
Premium version is built for.
Lab Takeaway – What Matters Today
USD Index: watch today’s close because
another failed gap-close will keep downside pressure alive.
Silver: as long as the price holds above key
support levels and gaps stay open, bulls remain in the game.
Gold: trend is still bullish across short-, medium-
and long-term perspectives. (…)
Stay sharp, stay tactical.
Anna
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