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Investorideas.com (www.investorideas.com
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a go-to
platform for big investing ideas, including gold and silver stocks issues market commentary from deVere Group.
Gold has soared past $5,000 for the first time, and could hit $6,000 by the end of the year as the
current
situation stands, predicts one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory organizations.
Nigel Green, CEO of deVere Group, says the metal’s explosive rise signals a profound shift
in how global
investors perceive political risk, debt, and currency stability.
“Gold crossing $5,000 reflects a deep reassessment of global power, policy, and
capital.
“Investors are seeking certainty in an era where sovereign bonds and fiat currencies
look
increasingly fragile.”
The rally has unfolded against a backdrop of escalating geopolitical tension and policy
realignment since
Donald Trump returned as US president.
His administration’s aggressive stance on trade, defence, and alliances has altered
global
expectations, creating volatility across currencies and government bond markets.
“Markets price stability, and current policy direction introduces a level of
unpredictability that
pushes capital toward hard assets,” says the chief executive.
“Gold benefits when political signals create uncertainty about growth, inflation, and
international
cooperation.”
The surge also reflects mounting concern over government borrowing. Debt levels across major
economies
continue to rise, with fiscal expansion now entrenched as a political strategy. Investors are increasingly
questioning whether bonds can protect purchasing power in such an environment.
“Gold is also reacting to a debt supercycle that shows few signs of reversal.
“When governments lean heavily on borrowing, investors hedge against currency debasement
and
long-term
inflation.”
Bond market stress has intensified this shift. Volatility in Japan’s government bond market
and upward
pressure on US and European yields have unsettled investors who once relied on sovereign debt as the foundation
of portfolios.
“Bonds have been treated as risk-free for decades, and that assumption is being
challenged,” says
Nigel Green.
“Gold is stepping back into its historical role as a store of value when trust in debt
markets
weakens.”
Central banks have amplified the rally through persistent accumulation. Official sector purchases
have exceeded
a thousand tonnes annually in recent years as countries diversify reserves away from the dollar and euro.
“Central banks are voting with their balance sheets. Their accumulation of gold signals a
strategic pivot
toward assets outside the Western currency system,” explains the deVere CEO.
“This alignment between central banks and private capital creates powerful
momentum,”
says Nigel
Green. “When both sides of the market buy for structural reasons, price moves become
self-reinforcing.”
Private investors have followed. Exchange-traded funds, institutional portfolios, and retail
buyers have all
increased allocations as macro uncertainty intensifies.
Currency dynamics have further accelerated the rally. Concerns over fiscal discipline, political
risk, and
monetary policy credibility have weighed on major currencies, strengthening demand for assets perceived as
independent of government control.
“Currencies are instruments of policy, and policy risk is elevated,” says Nigel
Green.
“Gold
provides insurance against policy errors.”
The current market behaviour also challenges traditional models. Gold is rising alongside higher
yields, which
historically would have weighed on the metal. Investors now prioritise systemic risk over opportunity cost.
“Gold is pricing systemic uncertainty rather than interest-rate differentials,” says
Nigel Green.
“Investors are hedging against structural instability in the financial system.”
Geopolitical competition is another driver. Defence spending, industrial policy, and strategic
competition in
AI and technology are pushing government budgets higher, reinforcing inflationary pressures and debt concerns.
“Strategic rivalry changes fiscal behaviour,” says Nigel Green. “Governments
prioritise power
and security, and gold thrives in environments where fiscal discipline takes a back seat.”
Forecasts across the investment community increasingly point higher. Several major banks and
analysts see
prices moving toward $6,000 per ounce within months if current conditions persist, with longer-term scenarios
extending significantly beyond.
“The path of least resistance remains higher while geopolitical risk, fiscal expansion,
and
currency
uncertainty dominate.
“Markets aren’t currently pricing a return to the low-volatility regime of the past
decade,”
he adds.
For investors, the rally carries strategic implications. Traditional diversification built around
equities and
bonds is under pressure, while real assets and inflation hedges gain relevance.
“Portfolio construction requires reassessment,” says Nigel Green. “Gold is
shifting from a
tactical hedge to a strategic allocation.”
He argues the surge also reflects a broader confidence signal.
“Gold is the market’s trust barometer,” says Nigel Green. “A move of
this
magnitude
shows investors questioning the durability of monetary and fiscal frameworks.”
The political economy backdrop reinforces the trend. Rising living costs, fiscal populism, and
geopolitical
fragmentation are reshaping investor behaviour and risk preferences.
“Markets respond to incentives and narratives. Current narratives favour fragmentation,
fiscal strain,
and strategic competition, which historically support hard assets.”
Volatility is likely to persist, and gold’s role as portfolio insurance will remain
prominent as macro
uncertainty continues.
“This rally represents a structural shift rather than a speculative spike,” says
Nigel
Green.
“Gold is reasserting itself as a core asset in an era dominated by policy risk and geopolitical
tension.”
He concludes: “The $5,000 milestone marks a beginning rather than an endpoint. We believe
$6,000 is not
unrealistic by the end of the year.”
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