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stocks issues market commentary from deVere Group.
Donald Trump’s appearance at Davos this week could have almost
immediate and lasting economic consequences for the global economy,
warns Nigel Green, CEO of deVere Group, as tensions over Greenland
move toward a decisive phase.
The warning comes as the European Union holds discussions on imposing
retaliatory tariffs on up to €93 billion of US goods if the US
president follows through on his threat to levy a 10% tariff on
European countries.
Trump has said the tariff rate would rise to 25% unless Europe agrees
to a deal involving the purchase of Greenland.
Trump is attending the annual World Economic Forum in Davos on
Wednesday, where heads of state, finance ministers, central bankers,
and business leaders gather to address global economic stability,
trade relations, and geopolitical risk.
Nigel Green says Trump’s presence at Davos fundamentally changes
the focus of the summit.
“Davos is meant to be about coordination and confidence, but
Trump will arrive having already put a major territorial dispute at
the centre of the global trade conversation.
“Greenland is not a side issue here. It sits directly on the
fault line between geopolitics, security, and economic leverage, and
that makes it impossible for global leaders to ignore.”
He adds that the Greenland dispute reshapes how transatlantic
relations are being discussed behind closed doors.
“Trade disagreements between allies usually revolve around
access, rules, or competitiveness. Tying tariffs to territorial
ambition and national security shifts the dynamic entirely.
“This is why Greenland dominates this summit. It changes the
nature of the relationship and raises the stakes for every
discussion taking place in Davos.”
The EU’s preparation of countermeasures underscores that
assessment. “€93 billion in potential retaliation is not
symbolic,” notes the deVere CEO.
“It signals readiness. Once countermeasures are designed and
quantified, the cost of stepping back increases on all sides.”
While the longer-term consequences hinge on policy decisions made in
the coming days, markets have already responded to the prospect of
escalation.
Markets reacted with speed and force. Gold jumped as much as 2.1% to a
record $4,690 per troy ounce, while silver surged 4.4% as investors
rush into havens.
European equities opened sharply lower, with the Stoxx Europe 600 down
1.5%.
US futures tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 fell 0.9% and 1.2%
respectively, even with US cash markets closed for Martin Luther King
Jr Day.
Nigel Green stresses that these moves reflect anticipation rather than
conclusion.
“Markets move early, but the more significant effects unfold
through trade flows, corporate planning, and government response.
Price action captures expectation, not resolution.”
He outlines three broad paths ahead. “A negotiated pause could
limit immediate disruption, but uncertainty would persist because
leverage has been established. A partial tariff implementation risks
tit-for-tat escalation. A full move to higher tariffs would likely
force companies to reassess supply chains and cross-border
exposure.”
He adds that the implications extend well beyond Europe and the US.
“Transatlantic trade underpins confidence across global supply
chains. Disruption there feeds into investment decisions, currency
stability, and diplomatic alignment worldwide.”
Nigel Green also warns of precedent. “If trade policy becomes
an accepted tool for advancing strategic or territorial aims, other
regions will take note. That reshapes expectations about how
economic relationships function.”
Davos therefore represents a pivotal moment rather than a routine
summit. Statements made there will be judged against prior threats and
subsequent action, not tone.
“Attendance alone does not reset expectations,” Nigel
Green says. “Consistency between words and policy determines
credibility.”
He concludes that the Greenland issue now tests how economic influence
is wielded in a more contested global environment.
“Trump will arrive at Davos with the power to reset or harden
political risk globally. What happens next will shape how
governments, businesses, and investors judge that risk.”
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