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stocks issues market commentary from deVere Group.
No US military force is now expected over Greenland, but tariffs are
rapidly emerging as President Donald Trump’s weapon of choice to
pursue the territory, warns the CEO of global financial advisory giant
deVere Group.
The stark warning from Nigel Green follows President Donald
Trump’s address at the World Economic Forum in Davos, which
sparked a relief rally across markets even as it seemed to reinforce a
far more persistent economic risk.
Shortly after the opening bell on Wall Street, the S&P 500 and Dow
Jones Industrial Average both rose around 0.3%, and the Nasdaq also
made modest gains. Treasury yields fell as prices rose, while the
dollar pared losses.
“Markets rallied because the immediate fear of military
escalation seems to have eased,” says the deVere chief
executive.
“But the speech in Davos was not conciliatory, it was highly
aggressive. Trump repeatedly praised tariffs, defended their
effectiveness, and presented them as a proven way to achieve
national objectives.
“Investors should focus on what he consistently endorsed, not
simply on what he ruled out.”
Throughout the speech, Trump highlighted tariffs’ roles in
protecting US interests, securing leverage, and compelling outcomes,
making clear that he views trade pressure as both legitimate and
effective.
“He repeatedly hailed tariffs as a successful tool and doubled
down on their power to deliver results. This could be seen as a
warning shot to those countries he has already name-checked over the
Greenland issue.”
Trump has already stated publicly that his pursuit of Greenland
remains non-negotiable. With military force excluded, Nigel Green
argues that the repeated emphasis on tariffs throughout the Davos
address points to a clear strategic direction.
“When the president removes force from the equation and spends
an entire speech championing tariffs, the implication is
obvious,” he notes.
“Tariffs align with his worldview, his language, and his
record.”
Markets, however, appear to be interpreting the absence of force as a
broader de-escalation signal. The deVere CEO believes that reading is
misplaced.
“Trade pressure is slower and less dramatic, but it could
potentially be far more corrosive,” he says. “Tariffs
feed into inflation, squeeze margins, disrupt supply chains, and
weigh on growth. They reshape the investment environment over
years.”
Europe remains particularly exposed. The European Union exports more
than €500bn of goods to the US each year, leaving major sectors
vulnerable even to targeted measures.
“Autos, industrials, luxury goods, and cross-border
manufacturing networks, among others, would all be affected.”
Currency markets are also at risk of renewed volatility. Trade
friction often supports the dollar in the short term while pressuring
export-driven currencies and emerging markets, raising hedging costs
and complicating capital allocation.
“Tariffs create rolling uncertainty in foreign exchange
markets,” says Nigel Green. “This uncertainty does not
disappear because equities bounce for a session or two.”
He stresses again that investors are underestimating the significance
of the Davos message.
“Trump’s conviction was unmistakable,” he says.
“He repeatedly underscored tariffs as a tool that works.
Markets should assume that belief translates into action over
Greenland.”
Green concludes that the current rally risks obscuring a deeper
recalibration ahead.
“Removing military risk does not remove economic risk,”
he says.
“It seems that tariffs remain the central lever in
Trump’s strategy, and investors ignore that at their
peril.”
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